Based on past Fourths of July, chances for rain are 10 percent or less for a large area from interior Washington to northwest New Mexico. If all we had to go on was history, this map ( Figure 2 above) says the best chances of clear skies in the contiguous United States (CONUS) would be found, not surprisingly, in the West. (Courtesy: NOAA/NCEI).įourth of July - Will it rain on your parade? NOAA’s National Weather Service will soon be issuing forecasts for Independence, but here’s a look at the historical probability that your Fourth of July picnic will be rained on, based on observations from 1981-2010.įigure 2: Percent chance of at least 0.1 inch of rain on the Fourth of July, based on past weather. Will it rain on your parade? Where the climate record says it's likely to rain on Fourth of July The storm poses no threat to the mainland U.S., but interests in Hawaii should monitor the progress of the storm.įigure 1b - Hurricane Barbara (Courtesy: National Hurricane Center) West-northwest with a decrease in forward speed is expected toīegin on Tuesday and continue into Wednesday, followed by a turn Moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). Located near latitude 12.0 North, longitude 121.1 West. "Satellite images show that Barbara has continued to strengthenįaster than previously indicated and the maximum winds have reachedġ30 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts," said forcasters at the National Hurricane Center.Īt 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), July 2nd, 2019, the center of Hurricane Barbara was Over the course of the next 24 hours, but were surprised when the storm quickly moved to Category 4 strength. Not so in the Pacific, as a tropical storm that formed off the coast of Mexico has strengthened into a hurricane.įorecasters initially reported Hurricane Barbara as a Category 2 storm that was expected to strengthen As is typical for the earliest few weeks of the hurricane season, all is quiet along the Gulf Coast this morning as well as throughout the Atlantic Ocean with no tropical cyclone development expected in the next two days (see Figure 1 below).įigure 1a: Current tropical activity in the Atlantic Ocean (Courtesy: National Hurricane Center).
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